Computing the expectation of the number of balls in a box The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are In Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara Planned maintenance scheduled April 17/18, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)There is two boxes with one with 8 balls and one with 4 ballsdrawing balls from box without replacemntRandom distribution of colored balls into boxes.Optimal Number of White BallsCompute possible outcomes when get balls from a boxPoisson Approximation Problem involving putting balls into boxesCompute expected received balls from boxesput n balls into n boxesA question of probability regarding expectation and variance of a random variable.Distributing 5 distinct balls into 3 distinct boxes

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Computing the expectation of the number of balls in a box



The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are In
Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara
Planned maintenance scheduled April 17/18, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)There is two boxes with one with 8 balls and one with 4 ballsdrawing balls from box without replacemntRandom distribution of colored balls into boxes.Optimal Number of White BallsCompute possible outcomes when get balls from a boxPoisson Approximation Problem involving putting balls into boxesCompute expected received balls from boxesput n balls into n boxesA question of probability regarding expectation and variance of a random variable.Distributing 5 distinct balls into 3 distinct boxes










5












$begingroup$


  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_i$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbbEleft[X_iright], mathbbEleft[X_iX_jright]$.

I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$











  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $fracn^2r^2$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago















5












$begingroup$


  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_i$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbbEleft[X_iright], mathbbEleft[X_iX_jright]$.

I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$











  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $fracn^2r^2$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago













5












5








5





$begingroup$


  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_i$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbbEleft[X_iright], mathbbEleft[X_iX_jright]$.

I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




  • There are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls.

  • Each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, independently of the other balls.

  • Let $X_i$ be the number of balls in box $i$,
    $1 leq i leq r$.

  • Compute $mathbbEleft[X_iright], mathbbEleft[X_iX_jright]$.

I am preparing for an exam, and I have no idea how to approach this problem. Can someone push me in the right direction ?.







probability-theory






share|cite|improve this question















share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited 2 days ago









Felix Marin

68.9k7110147




68.9k7110147










asked 2 days ago









631631

585




585











  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $fracn^2r^2$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago
















  • $begingroup$
    Are there any restrictions on $j$?
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
    $endgroup$
    – 631
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $fracn^2r^2$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago















$begingroup$
Are there any restrictions on $j$?
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago




$begingroup$
Are there any restrictions on $j$?
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago












$begingroup$
@SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
$endgroup$
– 631
2 days ago




$begingroup$
@SeanLee In the question, no. I'm guessing it would have the same restrictions as i.
$endgroup$
– 631
2 days ago












$begingroup$
Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $fracn^2r^2$
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago




$begingroup$
Computationally, the answer to the second part appears to be $fracn^2r^2$
$endgroup$
– Sean Lee
2 days ago












$begingroup$
Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
$endgroup$
– Daniel Schepler
2 days ago




$begingroup$
Have you studied covariance matrices, or vector-valued random variables, at all? That would seem to me to provide the most compact notation for solving this problem.
$endgroup$
– Daniel Schepler
2 days ago










3 Answers
3






active

oldest

votes


















2












$begingroup$

Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



$$ mathbbE[X_i] = fracnr $$



Now, we would like to know what is $mathbbE[X_i X_j] $.



We begin by making the following observation:



$$X_i = n - sum_jneq iX_j $$



Which gives us:



$$ X_isum_jneq iX_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



beginalignmathbbE[X_i X_j] &= frac1rBig(mathbbE[X_i sum_jneq i X_j] + mathbbE[X_i^2]Big) \
&= frac1r mathbbE[nX_i] \
&= fracn^2r^2
endalign






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = fracn(n-1)r^2$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = fracnr + fracn(n-1)r^2$.)
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago











  • $begingroup$
    Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac1r[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = fracn^2r^2$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago







  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago


















4












$begingroup$

For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbbE[X_i]$.
Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
is $frac1r$. Let



$$
Y_k^(i) = begincases
1 &, text if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$ \
0 &, text otherwise
endcases,
$$

which satisfies $mathbbE[Y_k^(i)] = mathbbP(Y_k^(i) = 1) = frac1r.$
Then you can write



$$
X_i = sum_j=1^n Y_j^(i) Rightarrow mathbbEX_i = sum_j=1^n frac1r = fracnr.
$$




For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_k=1^n Y_k^(i)$ and $X_j = sum_ell=1^n Y_ell^(j)$, so:
$$
X_i X_j = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) implies
mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)).
$$

We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) = Y_k^(i) Y_k^(j) = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
$$mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)) = mathbbE(Y_k^(i)) mathbbE(Y_ell^(j)) = frac1r cdot frac1r.$$
In summary, if $i ne j$, then
$$mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n delta_k ne ell cdot frac1r^2 = fracn(n-1)r^2$$
where $delta_k ne ell$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbbE(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j))$ for the case $k = ell$.






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago










  • $begingroup$
    @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
    $endgroup$
    – VHarisop
    yesterday


















0












$begingroup$

Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
$$
P(X=k) = fracK choose k N- Kchoose n - kN choose n.
$$



$N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



$K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



$n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



$k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfracKN$, hence the mean of your variable
$$E[X_i]=nfrac1r=fracnr$$






share|cite|improve this answer









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    3 Answers
    3






    active

    oldest

    votes








    3 Answers
    3






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes









    2












    $begingroup$

    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbbE[X_i] = fracnr $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbbE[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_jneq iX_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_jneq iX_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    beginalignmathbbE[X_i X_j] &= frac1rBig(mathbbE[X_i sum_jneq i X_j] + mathbbE[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac1r mathbbE[nX_i] \
    &= fracn^2r^2
    endalign






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = fracn(n-1)r^2$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = fracnr + fracn(n-1)r^2$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago











    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac1r[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = fracn^2r^2$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago







    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago















    2












    $begingroup$

    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbbE[X_i] = fracnr $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbbE[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_jneq iX_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_jneq iX_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    beginalignmathbbE[X_i X_j] &= frac1rBig(mathbbE[X_i sum_jneq i X_j] + mathbbE[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac1r mathbbE[nX_i] \
    &= fracn^2r^2
    endalign






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = fracn(n-1)r^2$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = fracnr + fracn(n-1)r^2$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago











    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac1r[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = fracn^2r^2$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago







    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago













    2












    2








    2





    $begingroup$

    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbbE[X_i] = fracnr $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbbE[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_jneq iX_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_jneq iX_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    beginalignmathbbE[X_i X_j] &= frac1rBig(mathbbE[X_i sum_jneq i X_j] + mathbbE[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac1r mathbbE[nX_i] \
    &= fracn^2r^2
    endalign






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$



    Since there are $r$ boxes and $n$ balls, and each ball is placed in a box with equal probability, we have:



    $$ mathbbE[X_i] = fracnr $$



    Now, we would like to know what is $mathbbE[X_i X_j] $.



    We begin by making the following observation:



    $$X_i = n - sum_jneq iX_j $$



    Which gives us:



    $$ X_isum_jneq iX_j = nX_i - X_i^2$$



    Now, fix $i$ (we can do this because of the symmetry in the question), and thus we have:



    beginalignmathbbE[X_i X_j] &= frac1rBig(mathbbE[X_i sum_jneq i X_j] + mathbbE[X_i^2]Big) \
    &= frac1r mathbbE[nX_i] \
    &= fracn^2r^2
    endalign







    share|cite|improve this answer














    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer








    edited 2 days ago

























    answered 2 days ago









    Sean LeeSean Lee

    828214




    828214







    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = fracn(n-1)r^2$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = fracnr + fracn(n-1)r^2$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago











    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac1r[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = fracn^2r^2$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago







    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago












    • 1




      $begingroup$
      If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = fracn(n-1)r^2$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = fracnr + fracn(n-1)r^2$.)
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago











    • $begingroup$
      Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac1r[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = fracn^2r^2$
      $endgroup$
      – Sean Lee
      2 days ago







    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago







    1




    1




    $begingroup$
    If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = fracn(n-1)r^2$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = fracnr + fracn(n-1)r^2$.)
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago





    $begingroup$
    If indeed $E(X_i X_j) = E(X_i) E(X_j)$ for $i in j$ then that implies zero correlation. I would expect a bit of negative correlation. (And indeed, my preliminary calculation based on the decomposition from VHarisop's answer seems to result in $E(X_i X_j) = fracn(n-1)r^2$ for $i ne j$ and $E(X_i^2) = fracnr + fracn(n-1)r^2$.)
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago













    $begingroup$
    Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac1r[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = fracn^2r^2$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago





    $begingroup$
    Yeah, it seemed a little strange to me initially, but its consistent with your results btw: $frac1r[(r-1)E(X_iX_j) + E(X_i^2)] = fracn^2r^2$
    $endgroup$
    – Sean Lee
    2 days ago





    1




    1




    $begingroup$
    I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago




    $begingroup$
    I've now expanded VHarisop's answer with my calculations for part two of the question.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago











    4












    $begingroup$

    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbbE[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac1r$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^(i) = begincases
    1 &, text if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$ \
    0 &, text otherwise
    endcases,
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbbE[Y_k^(i)] = mathbbP(Y_k^(i) = 1) = frac1r.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_j=1^n Y_j^(i) Rightarrow mathbbEX_i = sum_j=1^n frac1r = fracnr.
    $$




    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_k=1^n Y_k^(i)$ and $X_j = sum_ell=1^n Y_ell^(j)$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) implies
    mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) = Y_k^(i) Y_k^(j) = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)) = mathbbE(Y_k^(i)) mathbbE(Y_ell^(j)) = frac1r cdot frac1r.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n delta_k ne ell cdot frac1r^2 = fracn(n-1)r^2$$
    where $delta_k ne ell$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbbE(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j))$ for the case $k = ell$.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday















    4












    $begingroup$

    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbbE[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac1r$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^(i) = begincases
    1 &, text if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$ \
    0 &, text otherwise
    endcases,
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbbE[Y_k^(i)] = mathbbP(Y_k^(i) = 1) = frac1r.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_j=1^n Y_j^(i) Rightarrow mathbbEX_i = sum_j=1^n frac1r = fracnr.
    $$




    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_k=1^n Y_k^(i)$ and $X_j = sum_ell=1^n Y_ell^(j)$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) implies
    mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) = Y_k^(i) Y_k^(j) = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)) = mathbbE(Y_k^(i)) mathbbE(Y_ell^(j)) = frac1r cdot frac1r.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n delta_k ne ell cdot frac1r^2 = fracn(n-1)r^2$$
    where $delta_k ne ell$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbbE(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j))$ for the case $k = ell$.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday













    4












    4








    4





    $begingroup$

    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbbE[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac1r$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^(i) = begincases
    1 &, text if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$ \
    0 &, text otherwise
    endcases,
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbbE[Y_k^(i)] = mathbbP(Y_k^(i) = 1) = frac1r.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_j=1^n Y_j^(i) Rightarrow mathbbEX_i = sum_j=1^n frac1r = fracnr.
    $$




    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_k=1^n Y_k^(i)$ and $X_j = sum_ell=1^n Y_ell^(j)$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) implies
    mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) = Y_k^(i) Y_k^(j) = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)) = mathbbE(Y_k^(i)) mathbbE(Y_ell^(j)) = frac1r cdot frac1r.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n delta_k ne ell cdot frac1r^2 = fracn(n-1)r^2$$
    where $delta_k ne ell$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbbE(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j))$ for the case $k = ell$.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$



    For the first part, you can use linearity of expectation to compute $mathbbE[X_i]$.
    Specifically, you know that for a fixed box, the probability of putting a ball in it
    is $frac1r$. Let



    $$
    Y_k^(i) = begincases
    1 &, text if ball $k$ was placed in box $i$ \
    0 &, text otherwise
    endcases,
    $$

    which satisfies $mathbbE[Y_k^(i)] = mathbbP(Y_k^(i) = 1) = frac1r.$
    Then you can write



    $$
    X_i = sum_j=1^n Y_j^(i) Rightarrow mathbbEX_i = sum_j=1^n frac1r = fracnr.
    $$




    For the second part, you can proceed similarly: $X_i = sum_k=1^n Y_k^(i)$ and $X_j = sum_ell=1^n Y_ell^(j)$, so:
    $$
    X_i X_j = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) implies
    mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)).
    $$

    We will first treat the case where $i ne j$. Then, for each term in the sum such that $k = ell$, we must have $Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j) = Y_k^(i) Y_k^(j) = 0$ since it impossible for ball $k$ to be placed both in box $i$ and in box $j$. On the other hand, if $k ne ell$, then the events corresponding to $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent since the placement of balls $k$ and $ell$ are independent, which implies that $Y_k^(i)$ and $Y_ell^(j)$ are independent random variables. Therefore, in this case,
    $$mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j)) = mathbbE(Y_k^(i)) mathbbE(Y_ell^(j)) = frac1r cdot frac1r.$$
    In summary, if $i ne j$, then
    $$mathbbE(X_i X_j) = sum_k=1^n sum_ell=1^n delta_k ne ell cdot frac1r^2 = fracn(n-1)r^2$$
    where $delta_k ne ell$ represents the indicator value which is 1 when $k ne ell$ and 0 when $k = ell$.



    For the case $i = j$, I will leave the similar computation of $mathbbE(X_i^2)$ to you, with just the hint that the difference is in the expected value of $mathbbE(Y_k^(i) Y_ell^(j))$ for the case $k = ell$.







    share|cite|improve this answer














    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer








    edited 2 days ago









    Daniel Schepler

    9,3341821




    9,3341821










    answered 2 days ago









    VHarisopVHarisop

    1,228421




    1,228421







    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday












    • 1




      $begingroup$
      I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
      $endgroup$
      – Daniel Schepler
      2 days ago










    • $begingroup$
      @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
      $endgroup$
      – VHarisop
      yesterday







    1




    1




    $begingroup$
    I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago




    $begingroup$
    I decided to add my solution to part two, using your notation, to your answer to avoid having an answer split between your part and a part I would post separately. Feel free to edit it more to your liking, or even revert the addition if you prefer.
    $endgroup$
    – Daniel Schepler
    2 days ago












    $begingroup$
    @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
    $endgroup$
    – VHarisop
    yesterday




    $begingroup$
    @DanielSchepler: Looks good, thank you!
    $endgroup$
    – VHarisop
    yesterday











    0












    $begingroup$

    Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



    This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
    $$
    P(X=k) = fracK choose k N- Kchoose n - kN choose n.
    $$



    $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



    $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



    $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



    $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



    The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfracKN$, hence the mean of your variable
    $$E[X_i]=nfrac1r=fracnr$$






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$

















      0












      $begingroup$

      Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



      This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
      $$
      P(X=k) = fracK choose k N- Kchoose n - kN choose n.
      $$



      $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



      $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



      $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



      $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



      The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfracKN$, hence the mean of your variable
      $$E[X_i]=nfrac1r=fracnr$$






      share|cite|improve this answer









      $endgroup$















        0












        0








        0





        $begingroup$

        Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



        This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
        $$
        P(X=k) = fracK choose k N- Kchoose n - kN choose n.
        $$



        $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



        $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



        $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



        $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



        The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfracKN$, hence the mean of your variable
        $$E[X_i]=nfrac1r=fracnr$$






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$



        Think of placing the ball in box "$i$" as success and not placing it as a failure.



        This situation can be represented using the Hypergeometric Distribution.
        $$
        P(X=k) = fracK choose k N- Kchoose n - kN choose n.
        $$



        $N$ is the population size (number of boxes $r$)



        $K$ is the number of success states in the population (just $1$ because the success is defined as placing the ball in box "$i$".)



        $n$ is the number of draws (the number of balls $n$).



        $k$ is the number of observed successes (the number of balls in box "$i$").



        The expectation of the Hypergeometric Distribution is $nfracKN$, hence the mean of your variable
        $$E[X_i]=nfrac1r=fracnr$$







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered 2 days ago









        RScrlliRScrlli

        761114




        761114



























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